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About this Symposium

Meeting MS&T26: Materials Science & Technology
Symposium Uncertainty Quantification in Ultra-High Temperature Materials Manufacturing
Sponsorship ACerS Basic Science Division
Organizer(s) Scott J. McCormack, University of California, Berkeley
Raymundo Arroyave, Texas A&M University
Jeremy K. Mason, University of California, Davis
Wei Xiong, University of Pittsburgh
Hessam Babaee, University of Pittsburgh
William G. Fahrenholtz, Missouri University of Science and Technology
Scope Standard ultra-high temperature material (UHTM) manufacturing processing parameters result in components with substantial differences in properties largely due to variability in the “critical flaw size” distributions within their microstructure. Critical flaws could be any irregularity in the component’s microstructure such as secondary phases inclusions, pores, etc. The resulting process and property uncertainty makes designing predictable and reproducible UHTM components difficult for high-temperature applications and makes industry partners and manufacturers reluctant to adopt new material systems.

Implementing robust design principles requires a thorough understanding of the way that property uncertainty results from uncertainty propagation through process-structure-property relationships. This makes uncertainty quantification essential to the development and design of new materials. Frameworks and methodologies that incorporate cutting edge models and statistical techniques are required to more effectively quantify both aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty, and particularly the way uncertainty originates in materials processing. This will be essential to develop surrogate models that can reliably predict material properties and the associated uncertainty from processing parameters, and to enable establishing processing parameter guidelines for manufactures.

The symposium will broadly be divided into 4 sessions on (1) Integrated computational materials engineering approaches, (2) Uncertainty quantification using CALPHAD, (3) Uncertainty quantification of microstructures, and (4) development of processing-structure-property databases for materials processing.

Abstracts Due 05/19/2026

PRESENTATIONS APPROVED FOR THIS SYMPOSIUM INCLUDE


Autonomous Materials Characterization Through Simulation to Experiment Analysis with Continual Deep Learning
Bayesian Design of Experiments for Calphad Modeling
Computational Tools for Predicting High-Temperature Materials Properties via DFT, MD, and Deep Learning
Data to Discovery: A Closed-Loop Ecosystem for Designing Compositionally Complex Alloys
End-to-End Machine Learning for Creep Modeling: Data Processing, Parameter Learning, and Uncertainty Analysis
From Design to Melt: Rare Earth Retention in Ni-Based Superalloys
From Dirty Processing to Enhanced Performance: Hidden Variables for Strength Consistency in UHTCs
Generalization of a Crystal Plasticity Model from Grade 91 to Grade 92 Steel: A Coupled High-Throughput Constitutive Model and Data-Driven Analysis Approach
MXene and Polymer Derived TiC–SiC Ceramics with Enhanced Electrical Conductivity and Tailored Thermal–Mechanical Performance for High-Temperature Applications
UHTM and the Materials R&D Landscape
Uncertainty-Guided Experimental Determination of Phase Diagrams
Uncertainty Quantification of In-Situ Densification of Polymer-Derived Ceramics
Uncertainty Quantification via Deep Kernel Learning on Synchrotron Diffraction Patterns


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