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Meeting 2027 TMS Annual Meeting & Exhibition
Symposium AI-Enabled Materials Processing: Integrating Accelerated Experimental Workflows and Processing-Aware Machine Learning
Presentation Title Causal Intervention Mapping from Process Intensification to Pellet Architecture Design in Hydrogen Based Direct Reduction for Green Steelmaking
Author(s) Anurag Bajpai, Barak Ratzker, Pasquale Cavaliere, Dierk Raabe
On-Site Speaker (Planned) Anurag Bajpai
Abstract Scope Hydrogen-based direct reduction can decarbonize primary ironmaking, but its industrial efficiency is governed by the late-conversion kinetic tail, where furnace residence time, hydrogen recycle load and energy demand are set. Here we establish a physics-constrained interpretable machine learning framework that converts measured reduction trajectories into metallurgical design rules. Conversion-resolved deconvolution reveals a transition from early thermochemical control to late internal-transport limitation, governed by pellet diameter, pore size, porosity and tortuosity. Causal intervention mapping then shows that process intensification is not universally beneficial. We reveal that temperature, pressure and reducing-gas potential deliver high early-stage returns, but their late-stage effectiveness collapses when pore topology becomes restrictive. This defines process-controllable, mixed and topology-locked regimes, identifying when furnace severity should be increased and when pellet architecture must instead be redesigned. The framework links reaction kinetics, pore-network evolution and causal decision maps, providing an actionable route to faster, hydrogen-efficient direct reduction for scalable green ironmaking.
Proceedings Inclusion? Planned:
Keywords Machine Learning, Computational Materials Science & Engineering, Sustainability

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