|About this Abstract
||2018 TMS Annual Meeting & Exhibition
||Aluminum Reduction Technology
||Evaluating Effects of Future Shared Mobility and Electrification Trends on Key Intermediate Indicator of Aluminum Transportation Demand: US Vehicle Fleet Size
||Suhrid Deshmukh, Rich Roth, Michele Bustamante
|On-Site Speaker (Planned)
The North American auto industry is in the midst of a transformative change with the emergence of disruptive technologies like autonomous vehicles and ride-sharing. These disruptive technologies are expected to have a negative impact on passenger vehicle stock and sales, leading to a fewer number of vehicles on the road. On the other hand, due to stricter government regulations to meet the emission standards, the aluminum intensity in passenger cars is expected to increase to promote light-weighting. According to Ducker Worldwide, aluminum intensity is expected to increase at 4% every year. This work quantifies the impact of decreasing vehicle sales and increasing aluminum intensity in passenger vehicles in the time period 2012 – 2030. Aluminum penetration in each major component in a passenger vehicle is modeled. Along with changes in aluminum supply and future demand, insights on steel and copper intensity in passenger vehicles will also be studied.
||Planned: Light Metals